Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 319.524207 361.377605 407.656378 462.797552 526.932862 599.442741 688.000906
2025-11-02 251.912988 305.780319 370.547444 454.838455 562.634537 697.214045 880.063103
2025-11-09 221.993505 282.706056 360.022951 467.081643 613.657010 810.527978 1100.521712
2025-11-16 196.213658 259.313816 343.353042 465.579560 642.383393 894.561817 1292.134708
2025-11-23 175.226391 238.793020 326.673606 459.903152 661.925707 965.554254 1473.997599
2025-11-30 160.781690 225.203115 317.307050 462.315962 691.968821 1054.439758 1697.284370
2025-12-07 146.021534 209.339416 302.492604 454.002300 703.206950 1113.894548 1880.722847
2025-12-14 134.769339 197.402029 292.026556 450.692004 721.187903 1185.792604 2097.824652
2025-12-21 121.861756 181.679701 274.057678 432.942525 712.104676 1208.768340 2226.742017
2025-12-28 117.273507 178.441174 275.336290 447.009612 759.553422 1339.414961 2591.543295
2026-01-04 113.781384 176.563877 278.495617 464.402548 814.932986 1493.055851 3036.839014
2026-01-11 107.712712 169.912762 273.005177 465.691324 840.029544 1590.811399 3380.892991
2026-01-18 99.794911 159.693158 260.781001 453.844250 839.010705 1636.915073 3620.978697
2026-01-25 93.266882 151.366014 251.183772 445.957533 845.011899 1699.167261 3916.400166
2026-02-01 90.347913 149.035262 251.971205 457.923284 893.290851 1862.087993 4510.550668
2026-02-08 85.773319 143.415853 246.278235 456.455649 912.676030 1962.152599 4962.874077
2026-02-15 81.060953 137.202071 238.962622 450.909834 922.285528 2040.476058 5375.064791
2026-02-22 77.751963 133.304279 235.672441 453.267171 949.942016 2167.884298 5970.863908
2026-03-01 73.445165 127.263173 227.798350 445.144434 952.165283 2230.803418 6383.417282
2026-03-08 70.039221 122.691960 222.443697 441.909991 965.620223 2325.796983 6931.759184
2026-03-15 65.337341 115.369404 211.136180 424.565548 942.471652 2317.344417 7121.653673
2026-03-22 64.261674 114.957420 213.646863 438.311863 998.851547 2542.427578 8231.064457
2026-03-29 63.533336 115.164701 217.416207 455.305743 1066.106344 2813.543844 9626.717608